Computer Statistics Modeling of Medical Process

Abstract

Computer statistical modeling plays a huge role in medicine for making an accurate diagnosis and, on its basis, choosing the right method of treatment, predicting the outcome of the disease, and evaluating the effectiveness of the chosen treatment tactics. Computer-statistical modeling of the course of the disease on the example of oncology, carried out by the author on the basis of a scientific-statistical SSP package adapted to medical data (rewritten in the Turbo Basic programming language), included all the main elements of computer statistical data processing underlying computer statistical modeling with regard to communication, based on the creation of computer-aided medical-statistical models of the disease, to actively participate in the effective treatment of patients in clinical practice. Effective participation in the treatment of cancer patients was carried out through the implementation of the developed computer-statistical models of the tactics of individual planning of the examination of the patient, individualized prognosis of the course of the disease, which determine the possibility of an individual approach to observation and postoperative treatment of the patient. The paper presents the results of computer-statistical data processing using the SSP scientific-statistical software package, which became the basis of the development of a computer-statistical model of accurate interpolation prediction of the timing of the appearance of metastases in cancer patients after surgical treatment, and of evaluation of the effectiveness of preventive treatment for the appearance of metastases after surgery.